Monday, December 15, 2008

15 Dec'08: No Update

There will be no update till we resume.

 

Happy Trading !

 

Friday, December 12, 2008

12 Dec'08: Over Bought

Yesterday nifty opened with a mild positive note. During the first half of the session nifty was trading in the negative terrain and very often tried to move into the positive side and failed. Also on the lower side nifty defended the 2900 level by sharply bouncing back. In the second half of the session nifty saw the selling pressure and sharply dived till the day’s low of 2861. The last hour of trading was marked with surprise like that of last session where nifty saw a very sharp pull back and closed almost flat. The last hour pull back was contributed by major heavy weights like Reliance Industries, etc. IT sector was hammered during the session. The Nifty high, low & close are as follows:

H: 2945          L: 2861           C: 2920

 

US market closed in negative with their indices loosing around 2-4% in the last hour of trading. Asian markets also have opened and trading in negative region. Nifty is expected to open with a negative bias. Inflation has been reported 8% against the previous value of 8.4%.

 

On the upper side nifty may find resistance near 2956 or 2993 levels. Similarly on the lower side support exists near 2873 or 2825 levels. If nifty can manage to break and stay above the first resistance level it may add more momentum to the nifty towards 3000 levels. Since nifty has entered the overbought level, correction may be expected in any time.

 

Happy Trading !

 

Thursday, December 11, 2008

11 Dec'08: Correction Pending

Yesterday nifty opened in the positive region as expected. During the initial hour nifty was testing the first resistance mentioned and same been broken eventually. Till the first half of the session nifty was trying to break past the second resistance level of 2901 but initially failed and corrected sharply till our first resistance level. In the last hour of trading there comes the surprise factor which resulted in the nifty taking support near our first resistance level and broke the second resistance level with a comfortable margin and closed at the day’s high. The Nifty high, low & close are as follows:

H: 2940         L: 2816           C: 2928

 

US market closed in negative with their indices around 1% down. Asian markets have opened and trading in negative region. Nifty is expected to open flat to negative bias. Even if nifty opens with a gap up, the gain may not be sustained due to profit booking that may emerge.

 

On the upper side nifty may find resistance near 2968 or 3019 levels. Similarly on the lower side support exists near 2849 or 2771 levels. If nifty can manage to break and stay above the first resistance which is the weekly resistance level it may add more momentum to the nifty. Profit booking may emerge at higher levels. Since nifty has entered the overbought level, correction may be expected in any time.

 

Happy Trading !

 

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

10 Dec'08: Stimulation Rally

On Monday nifty opened very strongly above 2800 backed by the rate cut by RBI and better inflation numbers. During the day nifty defended 2800 level but in the last hour of trade it fell very steeply below 2800 level and also closed below it. The Nifty high, low & close are as follows:

H: 2861          L: 2762           C: 2784

 

US market tumbled after two days rally to closed in negative with their indices around 2-3% down. Asian markets have opened and trading in positive region. Nifty is expected to open flat to mild positive. Intraday volatility and surprises may be anticipated for the day. The way market closed on Monday shows some weakness in the charts.

 

On the upper side nifty may find resistance near 2842 or 2901 levels. Similarly on the lower side support exists near 2744 or 2704 levels. If nifty can manage to break and stay above the first resistance which is very critical level it may add more momentum to the nifty. Profit booking may emerge at higher levels.

 

Happy Trading !

 

Tuesday, December 9, 2008

09 Dec'08: Holiday

Today market is closed for Bakrid.


Monday, December 8, 2008

08 Dec'08: No Update

There will be no update for today.

 

Happy Trading !

 

Friday, December 5, 2008

05 Dec'08: Speculation Rally

As expected yesterday nifty opened with a mild positive note. During the first half of the day on the way up nifty got resisted around the mentioned resistance level of 2735 but during the second off nifty gave that surprise factor by breaking all the resistance and closed at the day’s high. Nifty is rallying on expectation of economic package or rate cut from RBI this weekend. It is to be noted that the inflation has come down to 8.40% from 8.84%. The Nifty high, low & close are as follows:

H: 2794          L: 2647           C: 2788

 

US market closed in negative with their indices around 2-3% down in the last hour of trading. Asian markets have opened and trading flat to mild positive. Nifty is expected to open flat to mild positive. Intraday volatility and surprises may be anticipated for the day.

 

On the upper side nifty may find resistance near 2839 or 2889 levels. Similarly on the lower side support exists near 2692 or 2597 levels. Today would be the testing day for nifty. If nifty can manage to break and stay above the first resistance which is very critical level it may add more momentum to the nifty. Profit booking may emerge at higher levels.

 

Happy Trading !

Thursday, December 4, 2008

04 Dec'08: Confused N Uncertain

As expected yesterday nifty opened with a mild positive note and made the day’s high at the opening itself where it encountered profit booking. During the day the trend was very volatile and choppy around the previous day’s close level.  The range of nifty was well within the mentioned support and resistance levels. It is interesting to note that the nifty has formed a doji in the daily charts which represents a level of confusion and uncertainty among the traders. The Nifty high, low & close are as follows:

H: 2693          L: 2612           C: 2656

 

US market closed in positive with their indices around 2-3% up in spite of discouraging economic data. Asian markets also have opened and trading in mild positive region. Nifty is expected to open flat to mild move in either of the directions. Intraday surprises may be anticipated for the day.

 

On the upper side nifty may find resistance near 2696 or 2735 levels. Similarly on the lower side support exists near 2614 or 2572 levels. The genuinity of the US market up move will be tested in a day or two. Also as the traders are uncertain on the direction of the market, it is expected for the nifty to decide on the direction in a session or two.

 

Happy Trading !

Wednesday, December 3, 2008

03 Dec'08: Surprise

As we had indicated yesterday nifty opened negative with a gap down of about 100 points to take out our first support level at the opening itself.  As we know that when the nifty moves below a critical support level then the same level becomes resistance for it if it is trying to move up. In the same lines during the intraday nifty bounced back and tested our mentioned level of 2624 several times during the first half of the day and could not succeed. But in the second half of the session the surprise factor popped in which broke the mentioned level and taken nifty up to cover the gap created in the opening. Nifty high, low & close are as follows:

H: 2673          L: 2571           C: 2658

 

US market closed in positive with their indices around 3-4% up after a big fall on Monday.  Asian markets also have opened and trading in positive region. Nifty is expected to open flat to mild positive.


 On the upper side nifty may find resistance near 2707 or 2755 levels. Similarly on the lower side support exists near 2595 or 2532 levels. Profit booking may emerge at higher levels.

 

Happy Trading !

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

02 Dec'08: Nose Dive

Yesterday nifty opened positive and in the first half of the session it had tested the critical 50% retracement level of 2832 exactly beyond which it could not move. Nifty did tried to break that level couple of times and failed badly to fall in a nose dive fashion in the second half of the session where there was no turning back. From the day’s high nifty fell almost 5-6% and closed near the day’s low which has brought weakness in the daily charts and can trigger further downward movement. Compared to the Asian peers Europe market sold off heavily yesterday where their indices drop to around 5-6%.

There was a one more massive sell off in the US market which resulted in their indices loosing around 7-9% in a single session. Asian markets also have opened and trading weakly. In continuation of yesterday Nifty is expected to open weak and most possibly with a gap down.

On the upper side nifty may find resistance near 2755 or 2839 levels. Similarly on the lower side support exists near 2624 or 2540 levels. Don’t be surprised if the first support level is taken out in the opening itself. Intraday surprises may be anticipated for the day.

Happy Trading !

Monday, December 1, 2008

01 Dec'08: No Update

There will be no update for today.

Happy Trading !